November 18, 2005

Clinching the NASCAR Nextel Cup Championship

(Filed under: Speculating)

Going into the final race at Homestead the question on everybody's mind is what will it take to beat Tony Stewart? Four drivers have a mathematical shot at the title, Stewart, Jimmie Johnson, Carl Edwards and Greg Biffle. But for three of those guys it means counting on bad luck to befall Tony Stewart. And that doesn't seem to happen to Stewart this year.

A ninth place finish by Stewart will clinch the championship, tenth place if he leads a lap (and we can almost count on him doing that). That sounds like the competition has a shot, but then you remember an 11th place finish by Stewart means Johnson has to win the race. A Stewart finish of 22nd means Edwards can win with a win, and Stewart placing 27th means Biffle can win with a win. No pressure.

You can check out all the scenarios yourself, but it pretty much means Stewart has to mess up and one of the other guys has to win. Stewart's earned this and if you're going to take it away from him you're going to have pull something magic out of a helmet. Factor in that Stewart has the best average finish (8.3) and the most wins (2) of Chase drivers at Homestead, and it's going to be a long shot for anybody but Tony.

Posted by kevin at November 18, 2005 9:01 AM

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oh shut up >:-\

Posted by: MsShadow at November 18, 2005 11:08 AM